Quinnipiac poll: Shifts in Scott-Nelson race, Trump approval; genders split on Kavanaugh

Republican Gov. Rick Scott (left) and Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson, rivals in the November race for U.S. Senate. (Photos by George Bennett/The Palm Beach Post)

Three weeks after calling Florida’s U.S. Senate race a dead heat between Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson and Republican Gov. Rick Scott, a new Quinnipiac University poll gives Nelson a 53-to-46 percent lead.

The poll stands in contrast to six other public polls released in the last month that have shown the race virtually tied, with neither candidate claiming a lead outside any survey’s margin of error. Quinnipiac had Scott and Nelson in a 49-49 tie on Sept. 5.

The latest Quinnipiac poll shows Floridians evenly divided on whether Brett Kavanaugh should be confirmed for the U.S. Supreme Court, with 47 percent in favor and 48 percent opposed — a virtual tie considering the poll’s 4 percent margin of error. Men favor Kavanaugh’s confirmation, 55 percent to 40 percent; women oppose him by a 54-41 margin.

President Donald Trump‘s Florida approval rating has sunk since Quinnipiac’s last poll, with 44 percent approving and 54 percent disapproving in the new survey. Three weeks ago, Trump had 47 percent approval and 51 percent disapproval scores.

The latest poll of 888 likely voters was conducted Thursday through Monday, with live interviewers calling a mix of cell phones and land lines.