New Florida poll: Gillum edging DeSantis; Nelson and Scott tied

Top: Senate candidates Rick Scott (R) and Bill Nelson (D). Bottom: governor candidates Andrew Gillum (D) and Ron DeSantis (R).

The University of North Florida finds tight races for Florida governor and U.S. Senate in a new poll.

In a Sept. 17-20 survey with a 4 percent margin of error, UNF’s Public Opinion Research Lab finds Democrat Andrew Gillum leading Republican Ron DeSantis by a 47-to-43 percent margin in the governor’s race and Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson and Republican Gov. Rick Scott in a flat-out tie in the Senate race with 45 percent each. The results are consistent with several other public polls in recent weeks.

Can we believe general election polls after the primary polls were so wrong? The Inside Florida Politics crew discusses that question in the latest podcast…

The UNF poll also finds 71 percent support for a Florida constitutional amendment on the November ballot to restore voting rights of felons who have completed their sentences. Murderers and sex offenders would be excluded. Constitutional amendments require 60 percent voter support for approval.

Says UNF’s Michael Binder in a release accompanying the new poll: “It’s still early in the election season and even though Gillum has a small lead, a lot can happen in the next six weeks. Nelson and Scott are currently tied, but one bit of hope for Nelson is that more Democrats are unsure who they will vote for and partisans will come home in November. With polling numbers this close, the candidates that are most successful getting their voters to the polls are the ones who are going to win. Historically, Florida has had very close statewide elections, and this year is shaping up to be no different.”