Need more evidence a Nelson-Scott Senate race will be tight?

Republican Gov. Rick Scott, left, is expected to challenge Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson next year. (Photos by George Bennett/The Palm Beach Post)

For the second time this week, a poll shows Florida Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson and Republican Gov. Rick Scott tied in a widely expected 2018 Senate race.

A Mason-Dixon poll this morning shows Nelson and Scott each drawing 44 percent support from Florida voters. A University of North Florida poll earlier this week showed Nelson getting 37 percent and Scott 36 percent, which is a virtual dead heat considering that survey’s 3.4 percent margin of error.

A Florida Chamber of Commerce poll last month also showed a virtual tie, with Scott up by a 47-to-45 percent margin in a poll with a 4 percent margin of error. And a Florida Atlantic University poll in August measured the race too close to call, with Nelson holding a within-the-margin-of-error lead of 42 percent to 40 percent.

If you’re keeping score, the four polls give Nelson an average of 42 percent and Scott an average of 41.75 percent — a statistically insignificant difference a year ahead of the likely showdown.

Today’s Mason-Dixon release is the second part of a survey that found two-thirds of Florida voters giving Scott high marks for his handling of Hurricane Irma. Overall, Scott has a 53 percent job approval rating, with 40 percent disapproving. Nelson gets a 50 percent approval and 35 percent disapproval score.

Nelson led Scott by a 46-to-41 percent margin when Mason-Dixon surveyed the race in February.

The latest poll had a telephone sample of 625 registered Florida voters and has a 4 percent margin of error.

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